We won’t see a clean sweep on Super Tuesday. Candidates know they don’t have to win everywhere and that it’s not necessarily worth the time and money to try. But with more than 400 delegates at stake across 10 states on March 6, it is critical candidates win where they can.

Newt Gingrich must prevail in his native Georgia and elsewhere in the upper South, so he can talk resurgence. Texas Rep. Ron Paul not only must pile up delegates in the caucus states of Alaska, Idaho, and North Dakota–where his tight-knit and enthusiastic organization provides advantages–he needs to finally win one outright.